CO, I understand our history hasn't been written yet, but when you are trying to predict the future, one usually looks at similar past events
and forms a (subjective) opinion from there as to what the probability of certain outcomes is likely to be. America's history has been one of Miracles, and perhaps we will produce yet another one, but taking a larger survey of human history the unlikely hood of such miracles becomes apparent.
Still not sure why you think default is not inevitable. A default occurs when you do not pay what you have promised to pay - no matter how that is accomplsihed - via inflation, rescheduling of your debt, or simply refusing to pay a dime. We have promised millions of Americans SS and Medicare benefits in return for their "contributions" to those systems. Not paying those is a default. We can call it "entitlement reform", or a "spending cut"if you are partial to terminology. Yes, the Supreme Court has found the govt is not legally required to provide those benefits and our "contributions" to those programs are just taxes- but it shouldn't be any wonder when a debtor- who also controls the law, claims they are not legally required to pay their debts. While I agree that the sort of drastic cutting you propose would save the nation and right the ship, I don't think it is a likely or a politically viable solution in any scenario short of a violent coup. You or Allen West will not be elected proposing such a plan, and if you surprise the American people with it, the entitled will be calling for your head - you would be likely to fall victim to a violent coup yourself and hand the reigns of power back over to the deranged lefties, who would then feel justified in going full commie and we end up in a Civil war. Personally I would have tried the entire congresss for Treason and had them publically hung by now if I had the option.. but not enough other people feel that way, or it would have already happened., the tea party would have won every race, and taken the senate if there were. The GOP is compromised, the culture in washington is not budging, and we may not have till 2012 to fix it. Markets anticipate. Bernake can say whatever he wants, be we all know he can't raise rates without rasing the interest on the 14 trillion in debt. He can't stop QE2 or the economy tanks, revenues fall, and we can make payment on the current interest payments. China has announced they will not buy any more and begin to sell treasuries (as if they hadn't been already) The dollar is dropping, silver, gold and oil continue to rise. Its a joo-joo-Flop situation, and I have a hard time seeing it hold together till 2012. FDR seized his power when people were scared, and Obama is trying for the same conditions now. And we haven't even discussed the likelyhood of a World War.