Author Topic: Pollyanna Hoyt  (Read 32276 times)

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Offline Weisshaupt

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Pollyanna Hoyt
« on: May 20, 2016, 09:24:45 AM »
Apparently Hoyt thought it was time for another of her Head in the Sand Posts on the collapse



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Okay, I’m sick and tired of hearing in every group I belong to that “Doom, gloom, the end is coming soon.” Now, I join with you in thinking that we’re on a difficult path and with the pool of two joker-Americans to pick from for the presidency, it might be a mighty step for joker-Americans, but the rest of us are going to suffer a worse economy, diminished prospects and likely, in either case, because hyenas smell blood, war at home and abroad. The severity of all of these could range from a continuation of the last eight years or to much, much, much worse.

How far worse?

Well — sigh — we stand to lose a lot of our liberties. This will slow down the rate of improvement in the sciences and tech, or bring it to a halt all together.  Our children will face yet a more diminished world and eventually, sometime around our great grandchildren, if this goes on, they’ll be about as poor as the rest of the world.

Social Security and Medicare will both be in deficit ( without even the IOUs)  in 5 Years, coincident with a giant wave of boomers retiring. (those born in 1950 turned 65 last year)  Fewer people are working in the US and the economy lingers in recessionary areas. We have a Government  imposing regulations that are killing our energy industry (Just as Venezuela killed theirs) and two major world powers looking to trip us up and take the reserve currency- both growing more powerful and influential by the day, and  the new Caliphate is being helped to invade western civilization under the guise of immigration. I am first to recognize the timing of the black swan that will take us down is hard, but TWO generations? Another 40 Years of $1+ Trillion deficits, the massive bankruptcy of govt pension plans both State and Federal  - and printing of money to make up the short falls, Puerto Rico style bailouts and so on..   I am just not so optimistic.

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I mean, let’s be real, okay?  I’m more than sick and tired of people envisioning a plunge down into the middle ages, or the stone age.  I’m more than sick and tired of people imagining that tomorrow we’ll be Venezuela.There is a lot of ruin in a country, particularly a country as rich as the US. And no, you have no idea how rich you are.  Nor do Europeans guess how rich we are.  They tend to think it’s “about like them” or worse because less government assistance, but take it from someone who’s been all over Europe and a great part of the US: you have no idea.  I once read that the equivalent for Europe was about two social levels down.  So, if you’re a secretary in the US, you live as well as doctors in Europe.  And that’s by and large true, with adjustments.  For instance, in the US things are easier to find, particularly specialized gadgets/food/clothes are much easier to find and take less time.  OTOH in Europe, (at least in the Southern part of it) you’re more likely to find cheap household help. But what I’m trying to say is that the crash rarely comes the way you expect it.  Oh, sure, civilizations in the world have been destroyed suddenly and no two stones have remained together, but that was when the world, and civilization was smaller and more easily squelchable, and even then I wonder if life changed that much between the before and the after for the average peasant on the outskirts of the city.  We know that when we dig beyond the historical accounts of fierce battles and entire populations of cities put to the sword, what we find is far less radical, far less scary and often far less heroic.

And that lifestyle is powered by ... right .... oil, electricity, police patrolling the streets, an expectation of justice. Yes, we are very rich, but a few supply chain problems and things fall apart rapidly. The idea that modern society is  robust is a joke. Argentina and Venezuela were both wealthy and it took less than 20 years of socialism to destroy each. Not two generations. They are now third world nations. 


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Even Rome, we think now, fell not in one great glorious invasion, but because the d*mn barbarians kept trickling over the border, and the Romans found them too useful to kick out, or even defend the border from (stop me when the tale sounds familiar.  Never mind.) Sure there were military invasions, but Rome qua classical Rome was already long gone.
And then there was the rest of the Empire.  Did Rome really fall?  Come walk  the streets of Portugal with me sometime, and tell me that.  And then we’ll both laugh at how things change, without changing.

Yes, things got worse and worse, and worse as Rome lost its grip. And if it was YOUR town the barbarians invaded  - things got very bad, very, very quickly. So yeah, on a macro scale Rome took forever to fall. On an individual's scale,  Rome fell when you were skewered on a Barbarian's sword and your wife was raped.  The US might take centuries to fall -- the Coasts might be engaged in a Balkan War while the hinterlands may peacefully hunker down.  But if you live in a suburb on the coasts, the collapse is personal and real, and the Macro account of things matters not at all.
But never fear says Sara, after all a few Cathedrals may survive as relics after being turned into Mosques and the public schools that survive may someday still be used as Madrasas.  See the United States didn't fall.  It changed. A fundamental transformation one might say.
The sophistry she uses to avoid dealing with the facts is sometimes flabbergasting.


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There is, I’m trying to tell you, an inertia to good things as well as bad.  As hard as it is to change society for the better, it’s also difficult to change it for worse.   Sure things can get worse, slowly and incrementally, but even with horrible management, with terrible presidents, with laws restricting our freedoms, your wealth won’t vanish overnight.

Unless your wealth was in a bank bail in , or forcefully invested in 30 year govt securities,  or MF Globalled... or simply in  stocks during a crash..  in which case, yeah, it was gone over night.

 
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Barring a cataclysm of epic proportions, you’re not even going to go back to the days of two tv channels, much less to the days of tube radio, or of no mass entertainment at all.

Yeah, that is first and foremost on my mind-- will I still have my ipad? Because if to do you can still buy and read Hoyt Science Fiction books! Its not bad if there still be bread and circuses! I mean, lets concentrate on what is important here.
I mean, as long as the collapse is televised, everything just hasn't gotten that bad. Matter of fact it can't be considered "bad" until we are building radios from stone knives and bear skins. 

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  Barring a cataclysm of epic proportions, computer programmers won’t become farmers.  Barring a cataclysm of epic proportions, instead of really a lot of small cataclysms and difficulty obtaining things, you’ll find that you’re better off in a somewhat suburban community near the city, where you can get the best of both worlds than in the middle of nowhere, where there are no jobs and food is hard to come by, unless you grow it yourself.Look, things are going to get worse.  We are so rich you might not notice it for a while.  It’s more a matter of less new stuff, fewer vacations.  Then they’ll get yet worse.

Because in Wiemar Germany all of the food produced was immediately sent to the cities for consumption. I mean its not as if during the great depression crops never got shipped because transportation and distribution costs made it unaffordable for most when it reached the cities. Nope. Never happened.
Science fiction writers  just sat in their apartments and spent their huge paychecks on whatever food they wanted. Programmers had nice steak dinners.

Because a war  elsewhere in the world could never disrupt the shipping of oil or of all of the container ships from elsewhere.  If the "things" you are having difficulty obtaining are foodstuffs,  then  it is not a small problem.  Suburbs are inefficient - lots of car travel, products delivered to a more distributed based of customers and so on..   -  and as economic get worse, fewer and fewer people will be able to live in them- and fewer products will go out to them as the population declines. Need proof? Its called Detroit.   There are no 3rd world "middle class" suburbs, because suburbs of their nature are made viable only because of cheap fuel and safe roads.  I agree a remote compound may not be the best idea,  but suburbia  isn't going to be a good idea.  Its going to go from not having vacations to not having coffee  over the course of years and not decades.  Because that is what happened in Argentina. That is what happened in Venezuela. That is what happened in Wiemar. That is what happened in Zimbabwe.  And she gives not reasoning at all for her timescale other than the US is "rich" in material goods. But when you can't afford to run the A/C , or you can't commute to your job safely without being stopped and mugged, you aren't all that rich anymore, are you?  If you need fuel and food, then your life depends on the prices of food and fuel - even if you own a mansion and its entirely paid off ( don't forget those property taxes! )
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In the seventies, we stopped baking at all, unless it was someone’s birthday because baking used too much fuel.  Even for birthdays, things like “pancake cakes” where you fried each layer on the stove top started being popular, because less fuel.  VISUALIZE having to consider how much gas/electricity you’re using to cook a meal and adjusting your lifestyle accordingly. There’s a long way for the US to even get to that, much less to compounds and growing your own food, and shooting intruders.

Unless there is an EMP launched by North Korea , in which case this happens tomorrow morning.    Inflation running at even 20%  a year would  have you adjusting your lifestyle in this way within a year.  If you think that is a "long way"  then okay. But the society relies on just in time delivery of almost everything, and that is made possible by cheap fuel and cheap food. And prices can change rapidly in response to any number of black swan events.


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Yes, I know, you’re going to say “what happens when the welfare checks fail?”  Supposing that happens, instead of them just being diminished or devalued?  The recipients will prey on their own neighbors and riot.  And then they’ll die. Most of what we’re seeing about Venezuela, which is a LOOOOOOOOONG way from where we are (yes, richest country, blah blah, yeah, sure but FAR more uneven than here) is about the POOR.  My family there which is anti-Chavez and solidly middle class is AT MOST being inconvenienced.  Sometimes they can’t find what they want in the store; the choice is smaller; they have to contrive. The black market starts figuring BIG in everyone’s life.

Got that?  its just an inconvenience that you can't find food without going to the black market and paying an ever greater share of your earnings on it..  Its inconvenient that you might get mugged, robbed or killed dealing with the black market .   But hey, that doesn't mean it will be you. It might just be your neighbor they torch and leave for dead burning  the street. They have to contrive because they are middle class and have the materials on hand  to do that - until they run out of materials, and then they will be "poor"  - because socialism is poverty spread equally.   But I used a word like "inconvenient"  to describe this, so  it can't be that bad. And even if its only "inconvenient" now - won't it simply get worse day after day? Just because you aren't deep in the thick of it now, does that mean you will still be immune 3 years from now? Five? 

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But isn’t there a lot more crime?  Well, yes.  There has always been, also the idea that crime is caused by poverty is a Marxist thing.  Crime is caused by criminals and people constitutionally not inclined to obey the law.

Which is now 1/3 - 1/2 of the people in the United States.

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If I understand Venezuela (and I claim no more knowledge than what I overheard from relatives, then policing was always like in any Latin country, dependent on bribes and on “if you commit a crime but pay me” — that has just gone more out of control, as, I’d guess, the police become less zealous.

Yeah, like the military there are stealing goats because they aren't being fed. That sort of "less zealous"?


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BUT crime can be way worse before life dissolves.  People tend to imagine welfare recipients becoming destitute and descending on other neighborhoods.  This is not the way it happens.  The way it happens is that they mostly sit in place and lament and try to use their victimhood to get stuff (from charity, from politicians, from…) A few of them will spy targets of opportunity and strike, but that’s just an INCREASE in crime, not total lawlessness.  It means fences go up and people hire neighborhood security patrols.

Unless, of course, you are the one who got stabbed - in which case it "dissolves" quickly.  Again the Macro view - instead of realizing an individual is trying to make sure its not him getting stabbed and doesn't want to play Criminal Victim Lotto.  As the systems fail, the government is less able to provide for the people via handouts.. and will be forced to crime to survive -And Hoyt ignores her own point -- the people in other nations are far more used to privation. The emotions that will be in play here will be very different. Add the fact that Americans are heavily armed and divided - ideologically, by race, by gender, - every way Obama could think of to divide us, and that Obama is deliberately inflaming those grievances to the point where Americans don't agree on what a "boy" is. .. You will have incentives to "cleanse" your neighborhood of the "filth" - however that is defined in your neighborhood.


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Look, I’m not saying any of this is GOOD.  I don’t want a diminished future for my children and grandchildren.  I don’t want greater crime. I don’t want medicines and electricity and the comforts of civilization to be irregularly available.  And I definitely don’t want us to lose our freedom. Not only because that’s the real engine of our growth, but because it is our hope for a better future.

BUT what you’re imagining is not what’s likely to happen.  Compounds out in the middle of nowhere, as Ferfal pointed out, never work out.

Well no. Ferfal said they were vulnerable in ways people assume they aren't, and that the most rural and vulnerable were often attacked. Sometimes successfully. Sometimes NOT. They come with their own set of challenges.. and you need to consider if you can meet them ( If I had Billions, and I could move 30-40 families of like mind to a self sufficient compound with natural and artificial barriers to travel  then it might very well be a good idea.)

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Don’t quit your job and become a goat herder.  This is not the way to survive. If you can stay in place.  If you can’t, find a place where you can be safer and still keep your job/get groceries/etc.We’re more likely to get hit with what happened in Argentina, and is happening in Venezuela and Zimbabwe than with the “no two stones together” thing.  And the strategies are different.

Why do you suppose the troops stole the goat from the goat herder?  Because he stupidly raised a goat instead of sitting in an apartment writing novels  waiting for someone to kill the goat, package it and deliver it to the local supermarket? Why didn't those troops just steal goat meet from the supermarket then? Heck, why didn't they just buy it with their govt salaries?

No, don't grow your own food - just rely on your cozy expectation that the trucks will keep bringing food to your market and  that your stories will provide enough income to allow you to buy it. Its a Good plan.



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Your first priority should be to maximize your income or your wealth.  In collapses, it is the poor that suffer the most.
Your second priority is to make sure your home is safe, even if all it means is installing an alarm, getting another gun, or putting a bigger fence around your home, so you don’t make yourself a bigger target. Your third priority is making sure you’re safe.  This might mean guns, but self defense courses are also encouraged.  AND most of all being situationally aware. Your fourth priority is to have enough supplies laid by.  Not the world in supplies, but enough that you can survive a week or two of disruption. There are other things you can do, like lay by a supply of used gold and tradeables.

Because the things in Venezuela and Argentina ( which we are a LOOONG way from) only lasted a few weeks. Then everything was awesome.

« Last Edit: May 20, 2016, 12:03:19 PM by Weisshaupt »

Offline Libertas

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Re: Pollyanna Hoyt
« Reply #1 on: May 20, 2016, 11:36:17 AM »
Yeah, should just cue up that cutie pie and her song...wait, no...please don't do that! 

Aside from some glaring obvious math problems as to timing and scale...she also as a bit of an optimistic bias which growing up in relative prosperity and safety can do that...

When real world conditions strike there will be many people suffering from a lack of common comprehension, knowledge and experience...some will freeze like prey before the predator, some will run with no thought of where or why...many will say "f**k!  I should have listened to so-and-so!"...I suspect Sarah might be muttering the latter...

Where Rome had centuries, we have decades...and many have passed...probably in the "we only have years" phase now...

Barbarians will come, many are already here...

Wealth is being plundered, squandered and destroyed at breakneck pace...

The opportunities to escape are few, survival strategies should be in play now, not later...later will be too late and too late could be around the corner any minute now (and it could be your corner or a bunch of corners!)...the list of things that can go wrong is legion, the Ruling Elites are doing all the wrong things to prevent it and are in fact doing everything to hasten it, the populace grows both more numerous and more stupid and clanish by the second...enemies are gathering, enemies are here and more enemies are coming...

Stay dangerously myopic and foolishly naive...at your own risk...and expect no sympathy for making bad choices...m'kay, darlin'?
We are now where The Founders were when they faced despotism.

Offline Glock32

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Re: Pollyanna Hoyt
« Reply #2 on: May 20, 2016, 11:39:05 AM »
I have observed one thing about the pollyannas and self-professed "cooler heads."  They're engaging in psychological damage control.  When you look at the state of civilization, when you look at the sequence of events that evince a certain and deliberate trajectory, you have two ways of wrapping your head around it:

1. You can acknowledge that evil is afoot and has been heretofore unopposed, that it is allowed to consolidate its grip because of inaction on our part, and by implication that inaction is due to a combination of naivete, ignorance, laziness, and cowardice, etc.

2. Or you can devise rationalizations for how it's not really all that bad, that it's more the result of the random ups and downs than the concerted efforts of malevolent interests, that we just need to Keep Calm and Carry On, and just make sure we help the Republicans hold on to the House and things will get better.

The first choice requires one to confront uncomfortable truths about oneself.  We're comfortable, we're lazy, we're cowards.  Far better to take the rationalizing second approach, and effectively absolve oneself of responsibility for why things continue as they are.  If you acknowledge a threat exists, that means you can no longer plead ignorance and at that point your inaction can only be due to fear/cowardice/laziness.  Since that is an admission to be avoided, then just refuse to acknowledge the threat.  And hey, while you're at it go ahead and claim that makes you more rational and "with it" than those simpletons sounding the alarm.  Bonus!
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Offline Libertas

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Re: Pollyanna Hoyt
« Reply #3 on: May 20, 2016, 11:49:07 AM »
All that sh*t goes out the window once the alarm sounds though!

And that's the point! 

I'll bet she has a home alarm system, I'd ask her "why?", after all, everything is fine...what makes you think anybody is targeting you?  What are you affraid of?  Why are you so irrational and fearful?  Can't you just be nice and accomodating to all people?  Why so judgemental and anti-social?  Do you hate other people?  Why are you so evil?

 ::pokeineye::

 ::evil::
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Offline Alphabet Soup

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Re: Pollyanna Hoyt
« Reply #4 on: May 20, 2016, 03:11:00 PM »
"Or I could be entirely full of shyt"

Funny how pollyannas never say that...

Offline Weisshaupt

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Re: Pollyanna Hoyt
« Reply #5 on: May 21, 2016, 07:29:48 PM »
$170 Hamburger is an "inconvenience"  I mean just stop eating Hamburger right?

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A hamburger sold for 1,700 Venezuelan bolivares is $170, or a 69,000-bolivar hotel room is $6,900 a night, based on the official rate of 10 bolivares for $1.

But of course no merchant is pricing at the official rate imposed under currency controls. It's the black market rate of 1,000 bolivares per dollar that's applied.

But for Venezuelans paid in hyperinflation-hit bolivares, and living in an economy relying on mostly imported goods or raw materials, conditions are unthinkably expensive.

Even for the middle class, most of it sliding into poverty, hamburgers and hotels are out-of-reach excesses.

"Everybody is knocked low," Michael Leal, a 34-year-old manager of an eyewear store in Caracas, told AFP. "We can't breathe."

Sure glad Hoyt's relative are able to make do eating dirt instead of hamburger, after all Its just an inconvenience.

But the Mass entertainment! That is still there right? No radios made out of stone knives and bears skins right?

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Jaimes lives with his family of seven, and tries to get by on a monthly salary of 35,000 bolivares -- in reality, around $35.

That sum is too paltry for him to even think about dropping into the cinema upstairs in the center, where tickets are 8,800 bolivares.

If somehow he could, he'd find the same sort of entertainment being shown in American multiplexes: "The Jungle Book," "Captain America: Civil War," and "Angry Birds."

But motion pictures and popcorn, while maybe an enticing diversion, are luxuries Venezuelans these days can ill afford

So yeah, Ms. Hoyt, you can relax. Its still there.  People just have to choose between watching  a couple hour movie and eating.

But - hey there are still electronics to entertain us right?

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In Chacao, a middle-class neighborhood in the capital, office workers lined up outside a nut store to buy the cheapest lunch they could afford. Nearby restaurants were all but empty.

Superficially it looked like the center of any other major Latin American city: skyscrapers, dense traffic, pedestrians in short sleeves bustling along the sidewalks.

But look closely and you can see the economic malaise. Many stores, particularly those that sold electronics, were shuttered.

« Last Edit: May 21, 2016, 08:18:51 PM by Weisshaupt »

Offline Libertas

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Re: Pollyanna Hoyt
« Reply #6 on: May 22, 2016, 10:52:09 AM »
There's that word again...malaise...Progs the world over create it and call it "progress", all it breeds is the seeds that eventually destroys itself. Unfortunately a lot of misery and death has to happen in the interim.
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Offline Weisshaupt

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Re: Pollyanna Hoyt
« Reply #7 on: May 24, 2016, 08:40:51 AM »
And what does FelFal have to say about Venezuela? Ms. Hoyt?

Oh right, it can't happen here because America's currency  and prices are made stable   by "wealth"
There is after all a lot of "ruin" in a country.  Of course, the amount of possible ruin  has nothing to do with the rate at which ruin can be created.

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    For the average "middle class" person in Venezuela -- educated and still holding on to a good job -- he needs two years of wages to buy a single plane ticket in his own currency. He needs to work for two full years to buy one single plane ticket -- he's stuck there. The problem is that he waited too long to leave. That's something important that I write about often: You have to know when to leave. You needed to leave Venezuela at least three or four years ago; now you’re getting to the point where you’re stuck there. The official exchange rate between the USD and Bolivar is 1 to 10, but unofficially which is the real one you experience,  is more like 1 to 1,000. So they basically are starving you to death through a completely devaluated currency which is what you’re getting paid in.

 Basically need to find ways of leaving the country by any means possible. What I would do if I was in Venezuela right now is I would leave on foot. I would leave any way I could, because it’s not safe. I know people that have killed people surviving Venezuela, I actually know guys that had to do that to live. You can't even find some land and grow your own food. You cannot do that when you have the government stealing it from you. It’s a no win situation.

FerFal is basically  saying get out before it goes bad is your best survival strategy. I  still don't think that will be a viable opion when the dollar collapses and 1/4 of the worlds market disappears.  The US is "too big to fail"  - which of course why everyone goes along with the slow roll collapse. But no one is going to take up the slack, and Americans will not be welcomed anywhere.

He says you won't win by trying to keep your farm.  Again it comes down to taking as many as you can with you. Its almost certain to turn into a civil  war if the govt starts trying to take farms and businesses by force.   
« Last Edit: May 24, 2016, 09:03:54 AM by Weisshaupt »

Offline Libertas

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Re: Pollyanna Hoyt
« Reply #8 on: May 24, 2016, 11:22:19 AM »
I'm not stuck, I'm merely a pre-positioned freedom fighter! 
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Offline Libertas

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Re: Pollyanna Hoyt
« Reply #10 on: May 26, 2016, 07:08:22 AM »
Get a load of this...

http://komonews.com/news/local/downtown-seattle-hit-by-major-power-outage

...oh, the horror! 

 ::ohno::

Wait till it goes dark, like everywhere...for a good long time...

It'll be fugly.

But hey, all is well...it's not like anything like that can happen here...
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Offline Glock32

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Re: Pollyanna Hoyt
« Reply #11 on: May 26, 2016, 09:14:54 AM »
Barbarianism always lurks just below the surface of men. You only need the slightest disruption to see it come out.  In Katrina the storm winds hadn't even finished before barbarians were already on the prowl.

I find it funny (well, not really) that Europeans are now clamoring to obtain firearms in response to their governments importing a barbarian army.  They ridicule our American gun culture, but then they suddenly get a taste of what it is like to be in danger and defenseless.  Thank God for our 2nd Amendment.
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Offline Libertas

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Re: Pollyanna Hoyt
« Reply #12 on: May 26, 2016, 11:54:01 AM »
I'm actually a bit surprised nobody in the Prog-Media has referred to the Germans wanting to arm themselves to fend off the invading Islaminals as a bunch of in-bred redneck racist bastards.

Maybe they have and I ignored it along with most everything else they spew...or they just haven't gotten around to it yet...

Either way this illustrates the disconnect between libiot false reality and actual in-your-face reality.

In the end the lies of the Progs are always exposed.

Call me bad names...and watch it have the opposite effect they intended.

Molan Labe.
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Offline Weisshaupt

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Re: Pollyanna Hoyt
« Reply #13 on: May 27, 2016, 09:46:42 AM »
And its Urban Farming to the rescue

But I am sure only the poor are growing their own food.  I am sure the Sci-Fi writers in the burbs still buy their groceries like normal.

Offline Weisshaupt

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Re: Pollyanna Hoyt
« Reply #14 on: June 06, 2016, 04:26:21 PM »

Offline Libertas

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Re: Pollyanna Hoyt
« Reply #15 on: June 07, 2016, 07:05:59 AM »
Oh, shot by the police...well as long as the socialists enforcement specialist was safe and returned to his family intact all is well, eh?

Yeah, another thing that could not ever happen here...

/
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Offline Libertas

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Re: Pollyanna Hoyt
« Reply #17 on: June 08, 2016, 08:17:15 AM »
Hmmm....sounds like the death spasms of the socialist utopia...umm...Hoyt a bit, eh?
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Offline Glock32

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Re: Pollyanna Hoyt
« Reply #18 on: June 09, 2016, 04:39:07 PM »
From the comments section at the original article:


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drdog09 | May 20, 2016 at 2:29 pm |

When the USD loses its reserve status your world will change Sarah. That .99c can of corn will cost $3 overnight. Why. There are three times as many USD in foreign markets than are in the US. When it all floods home prices will rise instantly.

    accordingtohoyt | May 20, 2016 at 3:06 pm |

    yes, and? That’s precisely the type of “slow slide” I expect. Have you seen prices in Europe and compared them to salaries. THAT’s what I’m talking about.


Tripling of food prices is more inconvenience.
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Offline Glock32

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Re: Pollyanna Hoyt
« Reply #19 on: June 09, 2016, 04:58:45 PM »
The main thrust of her argument seems to be "the USA is incomparable to any other examples, such as Argentina or Venezuela, because American ExceptionalismTM.  You doom mongers just have a weird apocalyptic fetish."

To that I say, guilty as charged.  I admit it.  I do want a collapse of sorts.  I don't know any other way that civilization might be freed of its infectious agents.  What is the alternative in Sarah's world?  That Third World immigrants and homegrown FSA soldiers will eventually tire of Leftism, and come around to their senses?  That "I'll gladly pay you Tuesday for a hamburger today" will suddenly cease to be our national fiscal policy?  And that, somehow, it will cease to be fiscal policy without precipitating the sorts of things the "doom mongers" warn of?
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