Okay, well...everyone expects Romney to
clean up in a Mormon leaning state. If he doesn't get at least half of the vote he will have screwed up. The big question is, who will end up in second place? Will Gingrich be able to do it even though he has spent almost no time and no money in the state or will it be Paul? Or does Santorum have a chance at second? Probably not.
Gingrich is
having a press conference tonight after it is over rather than the traditional post caucus/primary speech/party and some are speculating that he is going to quit the campaign. That's a bit of a stretch. I don't think he is going to quit. I think that this is yet another attempt (successful so far) to get free attention from the media.
Santorum, meanwhile, is
in trouble with state officials in Indiana and probably will not qualify for the ballot. It seems that the rules state that he needed to get a minimum of 500 verifiable signatures in each of the state's counties and he has missed the mark in one county by 25. Santorum will, of course, appeal and he might have grounds because there is something about redistricting playing a part in the situation after the signature collection started and the verification process ended. If his appeal is unsuccessful (likely) then that will make two states where he can't get delegates. Not good.
So...it's looking like Romney is going to coast to the nomination. Everyone had better just get used to it being a foregone conclusion and deal with it. I'm not happy about it at all because he looks to be as weak or weaker a candidate as McCain was. The only thing that mitigates that big negative is the
visceral dislike of Obongo and his miserable administration. Obongo is so conceited and arrogant that he seems to believe that he doesn't need to change his behavior one bit in order to fool enough of the country's voting age morons into voting for him again. The notion that he is a lock for re-election is, to me, unfounded. Seriously, how do you get elected when 76% of "uncommitted" voters disapprove of the job you are doing? Only 20% approve. What usually happens is that these so-called "uncommitted" voters hold out until the very end of the general election campaign and then suddenly support (and vote for) whoever is opposing the incumbent. That's why if your approval number is below 50% you are potentially in trouble. Obongo hasn't had an approval rating over 50% in well over a year...unless you count the statistically insignificant one or two week bump he got for claiming that he killed OBL.
The press is still in his corner and that is not likely to change but I don't think it will be enough. There are enough people without a job, enough people who have seen their net worth plummet in the last three years, etc. to counteract the propaganda coming from the MFM. In other words, the press can only help the Democrat if it's close and this time it's not. And it isn't likely to change before November thanks to Obongo's arrogance. I guess that's the downside of having a narcissist on the ticket.
Proof of that conceit can be found just about everywhere you look but this week's flavor of the month is the Obongo administration's
indifference to the Catholic voter. The Catholic voter has long been a brain dead demographic...a reliable Democrat vote...for decades (with the exception of the Reagan years, of course) and that may not be the case this go round. Heck, even the brain dead
Jewish demographic seems to be waking from its decades long slumber. Only the eternally brain dead black demographic can be counted on to reliably vote for Obongo. I wonder why that is? (he asks, sarcastically).
So, yeah, this like most in the past, is shaping up to be an interesting general election season. Not a good one because, it seems, there is absolutely no one to cheer for. But it will be interesting. I think that the polls will show (after our nominee has been chosen) that Obongo will be leading but they will also show his numbers to be below 50% and these numbers will stay this way right up until a week before the election. The same thing happened with Reagan versus Carter in 1980 and I believe that it will go down this way this time, too.
So...President Romney. Yippee. We had better elect some damned good conservative members of Congress. It's our only hope.
