Topic: W. skeptical of Romney's chances

[Glock32]

http://joemiller.us/2012/10/ex-president-bush-says-hes-skeptical-of-romneys-chances-of-winning/

Former president George W. Bush is keeping up with the presidential race, and isn’t crazy about what he sees from Republican candidate Mitt Romney, says a new report.

In a long profile of brother Jeb Bush, New York magazine reports that George W. “gets a regular drip feed of political news from (former aide) Karl Rove and others — he’s been critical of Romney’s campaign and skeptical of his chances.”

The Bushes just need to go away.

[Pandora]

http://joemiller.us/2012/10/ex-president-bush-says-hes-skeptical-of-romneys-chances-of-winning/

Former president George W. Bush is keeping up with the presidential race, and isn’t crazy about what he sees from Republican candidate Mitt Romney, says a new report.

In a long profile of brother Jeb Bush, New York magazine reports that George W. “gets a regular drip feed of political news from (former aide) Karl Rove and others — he’s been critical of Romney’s campaign and skeptical of his chances.”

The Bushes just need to go away.

First of all, this is Joe Miller repeating that which was in New York Magazine -- not exactly a bastion of conservatism, so I'd say more than a grain of salt is needed here.  If you click through to the piece, although the title purports to focus on Jeb, what you'll find on the first page is a thorough trashing of George W. -- "increasingly agoraphobic" (WTF) -- and George H., although the author seems to empathize with Jeb.  Which should tell you all you need to know about what not to believe.

Jeb Bush needs to go away and take his son, George P., with him.  No more "dynasties", and that goes for Chelsea Clinton as well.

[BigAlSouth]

Who cares what the dinosaur media prints? (Small caps on purpose)

[RickZ]

. . . George W. Bush is keeping up with the presidential race, and isn’t crazy about what he sees from Republican candidate Mitt Romney, . . . George W. “gets a regular drip feed of political news from (former aide) Karl Rove and others . . .

Hmm.  I think I see the problem.

[Pandora]

. . . George W. Bush is keeping up with the presidential race, and isn’t crazy about what he sees from Republican candidate Mitt Romney, . . . George W. “gets a regular drip feed of political news from (former aide) Karl Rove and others . . .

Hmm.  I think I see the problem.

Don't you just.

[Libertas]

The Butthead!      

[Glock32]

Roger Kimball at PJ Media weighs in.  In his potential scenarios, Romney gets at least 277 and as many as 315.

http://pjmedia.com/rogerkimball/2012/10/21/what-states-will-obama-win-first-in-a-series/

For some months, I have been predicting that Romney would not only win but win big.  I have a number of lunches and other small wagers riding on the outcome, so I have been cheered by Team Romney’s meteoric rise in the polls recently.

I understand the wisdom of Yogi Berra’s observation that it’s not over till it’s over. Harold Wilson was surely right that a week is a long time in politics.

Still, while not exactly counting the chickens before they hatch, I am drawing up a menu that features poulet for the main course. I think there will be plenty to go around.

How much, exactly?  Well, now we enter the realm of the parlor game. But I observe that people actually pay good money to places like the Gallup organization to do this sort of thing, so I thought I would take a shot at it too.

The lay of the land will be a lot clearer, I suspect, Monday at 11:01 p.m. Eastern Standard Time. And I will have occasion to return to this theme from time to time and offer updated guesses (for between you and me, Kemo Sabe, that’s what we’re talking about in all this commentary about the election, guesses). But for now, here’s how I see things shaking out.  It will be much quicker to list the states that I think Obama will win, adding alongside the number of Electoral College votes they command. Starting from beyond the Left coast:

Hawaii (4)
    Washington (12)
    Oregon (7)
    California (55)
    New Mexico (5)
    Illinois (20)
    Michigan (16)
    Iowa (6)
    New York (29)
    Washington, DC (3)
    Maryland (10)
    Delaware (3)
    New Jersey (14)
    Connecticut (7)
    Rhode Island (4)
    Massachusetts (11)
    Vermont (3)
    Maine (4)

That’s seventeen states and one enfranchised dependent sinkhole for a grand total of 223 electoral votes, leaving Mitt Romney with 33 states and 315 electoral votes.  I acknowledge that Wisconsin (10) might go to Obama as of course might Ohio (18). But 315 – 28 = 287, i.e., Romney still wins. [Update: I forgot Minnesota: another possible, indeed, likely, 10 for Obama: Romney still gets at least 277.]

There are obviously variations on this scenario.  Most that I ponder have Romney winning, and winning comfortably,  And let’s not forget that there are other scenarios that put Michigan and Iowa (and maybe even others)  into play.

I believe President Obama likes to make guesses about who will basketball games.  Here’s my first entry into a kindred psephological pastime.

I'm not sure if this isn't overly optimistic. Kimball seems to be assuming Pennsylvania goes for Romney.  I don't see that happening.  I just know that the evening of November 6th will be one of those Rubicon moments. If Obama is re-elected, that's it. It's over. Finis. The weight of the moment is about to give me a stroke.

[trapeze]

How many polls are trending for BO?

Oh, yeah. None.

[Pandora]

How many polls are trending for BO?

Oh, yeah. None.

I see that.  Then I see the various tottings up of electoral votes and I begin worrying all over again.

eta:  Plus, Roger Simon (PJ Media) wrote a piece entitled "Should Barack Obama Resign Tonight?" and Drudge picked it up, which brought commenters from far and wide and ohmyGod! so many are still drinking the Obongo KoolAid!