I believe it was a bit over-hyped as well, however, as none of these forecasters have perfect information/data, they put out what they think and the "newsies" do the hyping. A couple days ago, the track was forecast to make a right turn and skim the coast; it never did make that right turn until a few hours ago, which is what kept me checking the "maps", dry air notwithstanding.
At the risk of harping on Hurricane Fran, nobody suspected she was going to roar right up the middle of NC along route #40.