Poll trivia:
Rassmussen has Romney leading in New Hampshire 50-48 among 500 likely voters. The poll was conducted the day after the last debate. I think you can stick a fork in this one.
Also from Rassmussen:
Swing state tracking has Romney up 50-45. The state included in this poll are Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. Romney has enjoyed a lead in this poll for four of the last five days and has had a modest lead for 13 of the last 16 days. This is a seven day rolling average and the last day included was taken the evening of the debate before the debate had concluded. This is a very good trend. I look for it to improve modestly by the weekend because of BO's un-likeability displayed at the last debate.
National tracking has Romney up 50-46. These are likely voters and the poll is more or less mirroring the swing state poll.
Ohio is tied at 48-48. This is not good news for BO. The undecideds will break for the challenger. They always do.
Gallup has Romney's lead narrowing to three points with a 50-47 poll. This will be seen and heralded as "great" news for BO. This is where I thought this poll should be all along and you will notice that it is now more or less in line with Rassmussen. The truth is that BO is way south of 50% and at this point that is very, very bad news. The few undecideds will break for the challenger. They always do.
Plus everywhere you look (pick a poll) Romney is leading with independents. Usually by double digits. This is very, very bad news for BO.
Oh, and currently there is a zero gender gap. Romney's advantage with men cancels out BO's advantage with women. So...war on women is a whiff. Millions of dollars spent marketing utter nonsense has not paid off. There is a possibility that Romney will close up his gap with women...there is zero chance for BO to do the same with men.
I feel very, very good. My state (CO) is almost certainly going to go back into the red state status. I think that Romney is going to win. I think he is going to win big (defined as 300+ electoral votes). This time four years ago I was dismayed with the election. I knew that McDud was going to lose. This time I feel great. I know that BO is going to lose. Probably the best part of this season (at this time) is that BO knows he is going to lose...look at his last donation plea...and his minions are beginning to sense it...they can smell the flop sweat. I look for abject panic to set in next week in many of the news outlets. This is going to be fun.
Footnote: Has Romney led a negative campaign? Maybe with video ads in swing states to counteract what BO is putting out. But the way the debates went you cannot say that Romney went negative. He pointed out the problems with President Downgrade's policies and his record but that's pretty much it. Romney won the debate war by looking presidential, in control, confident and calm which was in direct contrast to BO who, after the somnolence of his first debate performance, was angry and nasty. Could this then be the first campaign where a negative campaign did not win? What will history say about this campaign?
