Author Topic: The Economy is Going to Implode  (Read 195721 times)

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Offline patentlymn

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Re: The Economy is Going to Implode
« Reply #1160 on: October 09, 2024, 02:27:17 PM »


This all feeds into what Rubino calls the “shrinking trust horizon.”  Rubino points out,

    “When everybody is lying to you, you reach a point where you only trust your city councilman, or your mayor and your local farmers...

    So, you just don’t put any stock in what your doctor tells you.  You stop taking the vaccinations they tell you to take... You stop doing the . . . statins for high blood pressure and cholesterol.  You stop doing that because you don’t trust those people anymore...

    Starting with the “weapons of mass destruction,” which the government lied to us to get us into a multi-trillion dollar war in Iraq, it’s been one big lie after another.

    In 2016, there was Trump/Russia collusion...It turned out to be Hillary Clinton opposition research.

    With the CV19 pandemic, it was just lie, after lie, after lie...

    Now, you have what is going on in North Carolina and Tennessee after Hurricane Helene.  People are figuring out they are being lied to one issue at a time...

    You’ve got a whole new set of people watching the government screw up and behave incompetently or corruptly, and they are learning they cannot trust the guys in charge anymore.  So, the trust horizon is shrinking everywhere you look.”

There are so many parts of the economy that are quietly facing huge trouble and big losses.

Nothing could start a total all-sector market crash faster than an attack by Israel on Iran’s nuclear sites.
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Offline Libertas

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Re: The Economy is Going to Implode
« Reply #1161 on: October 09, 2024, 02:45:02 PM »
Yeah...

I would flip that last part to read "Nothing could start a total all-sector market crash faster than making a stupendous tax-happy forever-war-crazy unrealized gains taxing Marxist, Jew-hating POS like Harris US President."

Not attacking Iran is not a sane expectation...and nobody is damaging this country more than the democrats and this repugnant Biden-Harris regime!
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Offline Libertas

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Re: The Economy is Going to Implode
« Reply #1162 on: October 10, 2024, 10:19:29 AM »
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/fed-asleep-wheel-again

Asleep?  Unfortunately, no...wide awake and doing stupid sh*t on purpose!

https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/initial-jobless-claims-exploded-13-month-highs-last-week

Release more revisions!   ::hysterical::

https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/consumer-prices-surge-new-record-high

Whattaya mean inflation printed hotter than expected?  Who are these idiots with unrealistic expectations you speak of?  Obviously they are talking about morons!

Inflation Prints Hotter Than Expected After Big Fed Rate-Cut

For the 52nd straight month, core consumer prices rose on a MoM basis in September (+0.3% MoM - hotter than the 0.2% expected) - the strongest since March. That left Core CPI YoY up 3.3%, hotter than the 3.2% expected...

The headline CPI also printed hotter than expected (+0.2% MoM vs +0.1% MoM exp), with the YoY CPI up 2.4% (hotter than the 2.3% expected but lowest since Feb 2021)...

Core Services and Food costs surged in September...

Overall, headline consumer prices are up over 20% (5.1% p.a.) since the Biden-Harris admin took over, which compares to around 8% (1.97% p.a) during Trump's first term...

The so-called SuperCore CPI also increased on a YoY basis to +4.6%...

A surge in Transportation Services costs (record high auto insurance) and Medical Care Supplies lifted Super Core...

The silver lining is that shelter inflation continues to slow...

BUT... Why is the cost of auto insurance up 56% since Biden and Harris took over?

Guess who’s back? Food inflation.

It looks like all aisles in the grocery store were more expensive in the month: five of the six major grocery store food group indexes increased.

The index for meats, poultry, fish, and eggs rose 0.8% in September; the eggs index jumped 8.4%. The fruits and vegetables index increased 0.9% over the month, following a 0.2-percent decline in August.

Rather oddly, given the slump in demand for luxury goods in China amid that country's economic slowdown, jewelry and watches saw a 5.2% increase on the month - the biggest-ever MoM jump.

Real wages are down since the start of the Biden-Harris administration...

Finally, we note that money supply is resurgent once again, suggesting The Fed's confidence in CPI's decline may be misplaced...

Could we really replay the '70s once again?

Will that really be Powell's legacy? Or will the timing of this resurgence in inflation be perfectly timed to coincide with Trump's election victory... and offer a perfect patsy for who is to blame?

https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/consumer-prices-surge-new-record-high

Check out all those graphs!  And that silver lining they mentioned?  Yeah, that'll get reversed in Powell keeps cutting rates...
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Offline Libertas

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Re: The Economy is Going to Implode
« Reply #1163 on: October 15, 2024, 01:37:56 PM »
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/empire-fed-manufacturing-crashes-30-month-high-5-month-low

Bidenomics hangover still raging...but they feel good about another bender...yeah okie dokie...

 ::hysterical::

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/walgreens-jumps-most-years-after-better-expected-earnings-outlook-and-widespread-store

Close the stores in demonazi sh*tholes and sales numbers should see a big improvement!

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Offline Libertas

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Re: The Economy is Going to Implode
« Reply #1164 on: October 16, 2024, 11:01:59 AM »
Space biz getting busier...

https://www.zerohedge.com/technology/satellite-constellation-projects-ready-takeoff

Much room left up there?  Lot of old dead clutter, I know that...

In related news...

Elon Musk threatened to take legal action against Democrat-led California after a state commission cited the Republican-backing mogul’s politics in its decision to reject a request for more frequent SpaceX launches.

The billionaire founder of SpaceX, which made history over the weekend when it conducted a successful test flight of its Starship Super Heavy booster rocket, slammed comments made by members of the California Coastal Commission after it denied an annual increase to 50 from 36 of Falcon 9 rocket blast-offs.

In a video of Thursday’s meeting, commissioner Gretchen Newsom – no relation to Musk’s nemesis and Democratic Calif. Gov. Gavin Newsom –  expressed concerns over Musk’s political posts on his social media platform X before the committee voted down the request 6-4.

“Elon Musk is hopping about the country, spewing and tweeting political falsehoods and attacking FEMA while claiming his desire to help the hurricane victims with free Starlink access to the internet,” Gretchen Newsom said.

“It appears that rather than prioritizing the welfare of SpaceX employees and the environment, the focus has been on profit maximization.”

Commission chair Caryl Hart followed Newsom’s statement by saying: “You could argue that it’s bringing in politics, but this is a political matter to some extent because it involves the US government, it involves the Coastal Commission.”

A fuming Musk said the commissioners’ comments were “Incredibly inappropriate.”

“What I post on this platform has nothing to do with a ‘coastal commission’ in California!,” he posted on X on Sunday.

“Filing suit against them on Monday for violating the First Amendment.”

https://nypost.com/2024/10/14/business/elon-musk-vows-to-sue-california-panel-which-denied-spacex-launches/

That stupid Commission twit just slandered and libeled Musk, spewed leftist talking points, expressed disdain for capitalism as all Marxists do and disparaged SpaceX and StarLink!  This case will be a slam dunk!!!

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Offline Libertas

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Re: The Economy is Going to Implode
« Reply #1165 on: October 16, 2024, 11:07:39 AM »
This whole power issue with AI will be fascinating to watch...

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/amazon-invest-more-500-million-small-modular-nuclear-reactors-power-aws

...the Tech Lords will need to get the water-carriers of the eco-loonies to back off or power needs are going to be coming up short...

Be a lot easier with Trump in and a Congress willing to knock off the BS...

We shall see...
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Offline Libertas

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Re: The Economy is Going to Implode
« Reply #1166 on: October 17, 2024, 09:23:02 AM »
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/tsmc-beats-forecasts-insane-ai-demand

Crazy...and Nvdia's blackwell chip sales appear to be going wild...their earnings come out in November...
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Offline Libertas

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Re: The Economy is Going to Implode
« Reply #1167 on: October 18, 2024, 09:34:28 AM »
So, The Fed cuts short-term rates... mortgage-rates rise... and builders slow their building plans... that's not how it's supposed to work!
https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/us-housing-starts-building-permits-plunge-september-0

Sure it is.  The cuts were purely political and symbolic, period. 

Sane people know, this will only pump more inflation into an already beaten and battered public, cause prices from labor to materials to rise...while people are maxed out on credit card debt and in no mood to try to take on a mortgage even if a lender was desperate enough to give them one...

Instead, people are pulling back, retrenching...desperately trying to get by until sanity returns...

Well, if Trump gets back in, and he should...then there is some hope...otherwise there is literally none...and people know it...

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Offline Libertas

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Re: The Economy is Going to Implode
« Reply #1168 on: October 22, 2024, 09:37:19 AM »
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/17-indicators-global-recession-are-clanging

Very busy, I know...but the bottom line is reality vs desire...

At some point reality can no longer be ignored...
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Offline Libertas

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Re: The Economy is Going to Implode
« Reply #1169 on: October 23, 2024, 09:27:17 AM »
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/point-no-returns

Debt is death...

You can survive a little...and recover from a temporary emergency-driven bump...bit now days idiots see everything, yes even the incredible foolish wastes of money as an "emergency"...so now we enter the too much death is all but certain phase...

Bidenomics, Bidenflation and Bidenstagnation continues to destroy businesses...

And in the restaurant business, what the Branch Covidians failed to destroy has been hammered by the batshyt-insane Biden-Harris policies....

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/restaurant-bankruptcies-piling-tgi-fridays-may-be-next

And in the hyper-competitive chip market even one-time partners are playing cutthroat with each other...

https://www.zerohedge.com/technology/arm-nukes-qualcomm-chip-design-license-60-days-ahead-court-trial

As for this, they can call it memory inflation...but anybody who has been around a while can tell you people that pay attention to things will merely call it experience...

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/memory-inflation-warps-bond-yields

...and experience shows that Fed action in the face of never-ending escalating spending by corrupt politicians and the default easy money impulse of Neo-Keynesian economists, the forever-wars of the DeepState and the tug of war within The Fed which will always be biased towards liquidity and low rates vs inflation and restraint...is in no position to deviate courses of action that seem to repeat itself in the data over many years...

IMO they do not give proper credit to the consumer viewpoint -

Which statement is more stressful?

A new car costs $55,000 compared to $35,000 a few years ago.

The price of a new car is down 1% over the last year.

We venture to say every reader picked the first bullet point. Both statements can be correct. However, one statement induces stress and the other tranquility. As consumers, much higher prices for many goods and services are constant reminders of the high inflation. The recurring cues invoke memory inflation in all of us, except for the most committed economists.
.
.
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Memory inflation of inflation results in bond yields trading above where they might have had the recent bout of inflation not occurred. It also results in a relatively conservative monetary policy.

Memory inflation will not disappear overnight, but as the distress of higher inflation ages, the bad memories will subside. Dare we say memory disinflation will kick in?

Historically, bond yields have a solid relationship with inflation and economic growth. When one considers that today’s economic fundamentals are not much different than before the pandemic, one may question why bond yields remain high. Some will blame the massive deficits or foreign selling of Treasury bonds. We think a lot of the yield premium rests on the shoulders of memory inflation and not the truest fundamental driver of yields, actual inflation.


They are closer to the mark when they say both statements can be correct but seem to blame memory inflation for bond yield premiums, or at least a primary share of it.  But when has caution/stress/fear/risk NOT been a factor in any bet on the street?  I would think the systemic/institutional dysfunctionality in politicians re: fiscal irresponsibility driven by insane deficit spending, forever wars and wasteful schemes and the unhelpful machinations at the Treasury Dept are a primary causes of most of our ills...and if those houses ever got in order (likely only effective through laws mandating balanced budgets, term limits, debt retirement, tighter definitions of "emergencies" to actual acts of war, and ending creative machinations and monetization of debt) the ease of navigating true existential emergencies and economic cycles would be a simple and less stressful.
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Offline Libertas

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Re: The Economy is Going to Implode
« Reply #1170 on: October 24, 2024, 08:55:07 AM »
https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/continuing-jobless-claims-jump-3-year-highs

Stop rate cuts?  Ha ha, good one!  Fed made one political decision, more will come...

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Offline Libertas

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Re: The Economy is Going to Implode
« Reply #1171 on: October 25, 2024, 10:16:39 AM »
The ubiquitous revisions...

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/us-durable-goods-orders-revised-lower-again

...always the same direction - worse!
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Offline Libertas

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Re: The Economy is Going to Implode
« Reply #1172 on: October 28, 2024, 10:29:26 AM »
All you have to do is look at the 10YT rising, your own shopping receipts and witness the lamentations of your neighbors and friends to know what the PTB's, demonazis and cucks pretend not to know...

Rising expenditure is inflationary because it is literally printing a currency that has diminishing demand relative to issuance. The government has surpassed the economic, fiscal, and inflationary limits of currency printing. However, their strategy is clear. Financial and fiscal repression and try to ban any alternative to a declining value currency.

The bond market sees this. More spending and the risk of higher inflation as printing goes out of control and demand for Treasury bonds declines globally.

The first scare may arrive soon.

Bloomberg Economics expect US headline and core PCE price indexes to rise 0.2% and 0.3%, respectively, in September, accelerating since August. This means that annual core inflation may rise to 2.7%, and service inflation will rise above 3.8% even with shelter declining modestly.

The U.S. government’s fiscal irresponsibility has been staggering, and the insanity has accelerated as the election process turned out to be less favourable to the incumbent vice president than polls suggested.

The inflationist era of 2021-2024 was not a fatality. It was a policy.

Inflationism is the ideology that wins among economists close to the current administration as well as policymakers. The narrative is to tell you that inflation is low, that the battle is over and that everything is fine while you see your real wages and deposit savings disappear. The government wants inflation because it will alleviate the financial commitments of the future in real terms at the expense of your wealth and wages. Furthermore, the government can present itself as the solution to the inflation they create and blame businesses and corporations.

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/inflationists-narrative-crumbling

And yeah, this is going to be an interesting week...the usual suspects will try mightily to game the numbers...but it is a futile effort...only the truly stupid ignore the reality all around them...



https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/key-events-extremely-busy-week-jobs-jolts-pce-gdp-and-peak-earnings
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Offline Libertas

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Re: The Economy is Going to Implode
« Reply #1173 on: October 29, 2024, 10:01:18 AM »
The post-1/2 point Fed cut still hasn't delivered lower mortgage rates...and home prices still elevated...

https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/us-home-prices-remain-near-record-highs-mortgage-rates-re-surge

Powell's attempt to boost the Harris campaign is being totally undercut by the greater damage of Biden-Harris regime stupidity and wasteful spending!

And hiding data by removing what people need...

https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/heres-why-cpi-doesnt-fully-reflect-economic-pain

...isn't fooling the majority of people!



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Offline Libertas

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Re: The Economy is Going to Implode
« Reply #1174 on: October 30, 2024, 08:38:46 AM »
This is BS!

https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/october-surprise-adp-employment-report-signals-six-sigma-beat-week-elections

Totally made up number!  This is a naked attempt to 1) protect incumbent demonazis and 2) bogus data to support another politically-motivated and economically unsound rate cut by the Fed!

This will flip hard in January...just in time to heap all the blame on Trump.

Don't be fooled by any of this crap!
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Offline Libertas

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Re: The Economy is Going to Implode
« Reply #1175 on: October 31, 2024, 10:27:02 AM »
https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/halloween-spending-expected-fall-short-2023-record

Yeah, well wait till you see the Christmas crash...

A Trump win may reduce the drop some, but the opposite will see an even bigger flop...

The Mag-7 see some cracks...casinos are puking...

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/futures-slide-dragged-meta-microsoft

And something for the Fed to ignore/belittle...

https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/feds-favorite-inflation-indicator-hotter-expected-september

...the politically-motivated Fed will cut rates again in one last attempt to BS people into a false sense of economic happiness when in fact it will make things worse, just as their last attempt bombed at lowering mortgage rates and stimulating the bricked real estate market and made inflation heat up again!



Sorry Oddball...I just see what idiots in the Fed, Treas, Congress & the White House do!
« Last Edit: October 31, 2024, 10:30:46 AM by Libertas »
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Offline Libertas

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Re: The Economy is Going to Implode
« Reply #1176 on: November 01, 2024, 09:16:47 AM »
I like dividend paying stocks...and as for individual stocks I own a small number in just 2-3 sectors, but they pay well, it's nice to have appreciation and dividends...

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/these-are-top-15-dividend-kings-2024

And a good way to get some of that juice without going into individual stocks is into a dividend stock ETF fund...fees a lot lot lower than mutual funds (which are a little dated and unattractive IMO)...

And this - https://www.zerohedge.com/political/trumps-potential-treasury-pick-vows-spending-cuts-partnership-musk

I cannot overstate how returning sanity to fiscal, monetary and government spending will have positive impacts in most all economic activity...right now things are skewed, mortgage rates and Treasuries are not coming down with Fed rate cuts because everybody knows the fiscal/monetary/spending actions are stupid!

And this, this is no mistake...

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/jobs-shock-october-payrolls-huge-miss-private-payrolls-print-negative-first-time-2020

Yeah, numbers are always worse than they let on...this is an odd case, typical twisted by govt bad intentions...in this case what is bad news for we the people stuck living under these maniacs is good for govt who wants to give the politically vulnerable Fed Heads the weakness they seek to ensure another idiotic inflation-raising rate cut to symbolically wave about as something wonderful.

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Offline Libertas

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Re: The Economy is Going to Implode
« Reply #1177 on: November 04, 2024, 12:03:32 PM »
The unmitigated disaster that is the Biden-Harris regime cannot end fast enough...

https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/us-factory-orders-tumbled-september

...lives and livelihoods need this insanity to end or its nothing but carnage and misery without end...
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Offline Libertas

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Re: The Economy is Going to Implode
« Reply #1178 on: November 05, 2024, 09:20:08 AM »
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/schiff-fed-policy-backfiring

Lot of truth here, but that last part going to find few buyers...I see no will to do that...

Best we could hope for is to stop paying the 1% SocSec, come up with a framework to transfer control of peoples contribution to them in a IRA type account people can direct the invest for and deny the govt from touching it...

Ostupid Care is something ripe for action...
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Offline Libertas

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Re: The Economy is Going to Implode
« Reply #1179 on: November 07, 2024, 09:31:19 AM »
https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/continuing-jobless-claims-jump-3-year-highs-0

And we have 2 1/2 months of Biden-Harris stupidity, waste, fraud and abuse to put up with before we can start working on totalitarian hangover cures...

 ::outrage::
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