I don't believe the polls are accurate no matter what the pollsters reveal about their "evenhanded" methodology (see the recent turnaround in Gallup's results), and because I know people are lying to them, when they agree to be polled at all, and in the case of ambiguous answers, use those to help skew the results. Then there's the issue of whether or not they're getting cell-phone people's responses at all, as opposed to land-line people.
Two weeks ago, someone called wanting to talk about a conservative Republican running for Congress here albeit in another district. I wasn't sure who the candidate was, so after listening to the pollster's set-up spiel, I asked the candidate's party affiliation. Then, after a pause, I told her I wasn't having this conversation with her and hung up. Now, how do you think she spun that?