Certainly no later than next Tuesday morning.
The "bone casting" has been consistently rigged against conservatives, so on that score I think the trend is more meaningful, regardless of the response rate. All things being equal there is nothing real going on that is benefiting any kind of significant movement toward Obama, so the logical conclusion he is in major trouble. Does this mean the Left will give up, stay home, not rig whatb they can, not intimidate, not destroy personal property (Romney signs), not threaten riots if Obama loses or commit fraud? Of course not, I still predict a banner year for that, but I don't think it can rise to the level where it reverses Obama's immenent political demise. I am more concerned about them stealing other down ticket races that threaten Congressional and state control. I am more concerned about Obama nullifying elections and declaring martial law than I am of anything else. I am worried about him going tHugo Chavez.